Wednesday, 5 April 2017

TEENAGE CONCEPTIONS AND DEPRIVATION

UNIVERSITY OF YORK
Social Policy Research Unit

TEENAGE CONCEPTIONS AND DEPRIVATION

31 March 2017

Background
Between 2000 and 2015 the rate of conceptions per 1000 women under 18 has fallen by 52% in England and Wales. Most of the reduction has occurred since 2007 and the trend is still on a steep downward trajectory (see Figure 1).

Figure 1: Conceptions per 1000 women under 18. England and Wales


The Office for National Statistics has a Conceptions-Deprivation Analysis Toolkit which is designed to enable the analysis of teenage conceptions by the deprivation of the area.  At the moment this is only available for the period 2009-11. In this note we have analysed the conception data up 2015 and related it to the latest Index of Deprivation (ID) for 2015 at upper tier local authority level.

Findings
It is already well known[1],[2] that there is a strong association between the rate of teenage conceptions and the level of deprivation of an area. Figures 2 and 3 show the conception rate in 2000 and 2015 compared with the ID rank. The association between teenage conceptions and deprivation has weakened slightly as the conception rate has fallen. This is because there has been a slight tendency for the more deprived LAs to have had larger reductions in their conceptions rates (see Figure 4).

Figure 2: LA under 18 conception 2000 rate by ID rank

Figure 3: LA under 18 conception 2015 rate by ID ranks


Figure 3: % change in LA under 18 conception rates 2000-2015 by ID ranks

There are some quite deprived LAs among the 20 LAs with the largest reduction in their conception rates 2000-2015, including Hackney (see Table 1). Generally London Boroughs have had the largest reductions in teenage conceptions.

Table 1: The 20 LAs with the largest % reduction in teenage conceptions 2000-2015 by their ID rank
Deprivation rank
Local authority
Teenage conception rate 2000
Teenage conception rate 2015
% reduction in teenage conceptions 2000-2015
36
Westminster
57.2
12.0
79.0
145
Bracknell Forest
35.2
7.4
79.0
69
Kensington and Chelsea
49.7
10.6
78.7
94
Wandsworth
68.5
18.6
72.8
51
Camden
48.3
13.5
72.0
19
Haringey
74.1
21.0
71.7
2
Hackney
79.5
22.7
71.4
57
City of London
79.5
22.7
71.4
152
Wokingham
27.5
8.1
70.5
21
Southwark
83.0
24.7
70.2
118
Merton
46.3
14.1
69.5
53
Hammersmith and Fulham
59.8
18.4
69.2
33
Brent
53.7
17.5
67.4
54
Bristol, City of
53.0
17.3
67.4
20
Lambeth
87.5
28.7
67.2
151
Windsor and Maidenhead
27.0
9.1
66.3
13
Islington
62.4
21.4
65.7
63
Ealing
40.3
14.0
65.3
24
Lewisham
67.3
23.4
65.2
15
Waltham Forest
57.2
20.4
64.3

Over the period since 2000 some large deprived LAs have achieved very large reductions in teenage conceptions (Table 2). Manchester, the most deprived local authority, has achieved a reduction of 56.3% (295 teenage births) and Birmingham has 55.1% (588) fewer teenage births.

Table 2: Most deprived 20 LAs in ID 2015 by % reduction in the rate of teenage conceptions
Deprivation rank
Local Authority
Teenage conception rate 2000
Teenage conception rate 2015
% reduction in teenage conceptions 2000-2015
1
Manchester
65.9
28.8
56.3
2
Hackney
79.5
22.7
71.4
3
Barking and Dagenham
67.5
31.0
54.1
4
Blackpool
69.9
43.8
37.3
5
Knowsley
48.6
31.8
34.6
6
Tower Hamlets
48.5
21.2
56.3
7
Liverpool
50.3
32.1
36.2
8
Newham
55.9
21.9
60.8
9
Kingston upon Hull, City of
73.2
38.4
47.5
10
Nottingham
72.9
31.2
57.2
11
Birmingham
56.6
25.4
55.1
12
Sandwell
62.7
31.6
49.6
13
Islington
62.4
21.4
65.7
14
Leicester
58.3
26.2
55.1
15
Waltham Forest
57.2
20.4
64.3
16
Middlesbrough
53.1
33.7
36.5
17
Stoke-on-Trent
60.5
26.9
55.5
18
Wolverhampton
63.3
31.9
49.6
19
Haringey
74.1
21.0
71.7
20
Lambeth
87.5
28.7
67.2

But there are also some very deprived local authorities that have achieved some of the lowest reductions in teenage pregnancy including Knowsley, Halton and Sunderland (see Table 3).

Table 3: The 20 LAs with the smallest % reduction in the rate of teenage conceptions by deprivation rank
Deprivation rank
LA
Teenage conception rate 2000
Teenage conception rate 2015
% reduction in teenage conceptions 2000-2015
88
Cumbria
27.0
20.8
23.0
133
Cambridge
21.8
16.5
24.4
84
Stockton-on-Tees
38.5
28.9
24.9
85
Norfolk
28.5
21.3
25.1
116
Stafford
30.3
22.3
26.5
125
North Yorks
19.8
14.1
28.9
105
Devon
26.0
18.4
29.2
141
Hampshire
23.3
16.5
29.2
137
Hertford
21.6
15.3
29.3
87
Lancashire
35.6
25.1
29.5
124
Gloucester
21.6
15.2
29.6
112
Essex
28.4
19.6
30.9
30
Halton
53.3
36.6
31.3
123
Dorset
22.6
15.3
32.2
32
Sunderland
51.0
34.6
32.2
104
Kent
31.0
20.6
33.6
130
West Sus
24.6
16.2
34.1
117
Poole
31.4
20.6
34.4
5
Knowsley
48.6
31.8
34.6
81
Medway
43.0
28.1
34.7

Finally Table 4 lists the 20 LAs still with the highest teenage conception rates in 2015. Blackpool has reduced its teenage conception rate by less than average and now has the highest rate. Hull has reduced its conception rate by more than average but still has the second highest rate of all English LAs.

 Table 4: The 20 LAs with the highest rate of teenage conceptions in 2015
Deprivation rank
LA
Teenage conception rate 2000
Teenage conception rate 2015
% reduction in teenage conceptions 2000-2015
4
Blackpool
69.9
43.8
37.3
9
Kingston upon Hull, City of
73.2
38.4
47.5
49
North East Lincolnshire
63.6
37.6
40.9
30
Halton
53.3
36.6
31.3
28
Hartlepool
57.4
35.8
37.6
32
Sunderland
51.0
34.6
32.2
31
Barnsley
52.1
33.7
35.3
16
Middlesbrough
53.1
33.7
36.5
55
Redcar and Cleveland
57.0
33.7
40.9
7
Liverpool
50.3
32.1
36.2
25
Salford
53.5
32.0
40.2
18
Wolverhampton
63.3
31.9
49.6
5
Knowsley
48.6
31.8
34.6
38
Doncaster
69.3
31.8
54.1
12
Sandwell
62.7
31.6
49.6
35
Walsall
61.5
31.5
48.8
10
Nottingham
72.9
31.2
57.2
3
Barking and Dagenham
67.5
31.0
54.1
46
Coventry
64.9
29.9
53.9
41
St. Helens
50.7
29.6
41.6

The background data for this analysis including the results for other LAs can be obtained by emailing jonathan.bradshaw@york.ac.uk.




[2] Wellings, C.  et al (2016) Changes in conceptions in women younger than 18 years and the circumstances of young mothers in England in 2000-2012: an observational study, Lancet 388, 586-595

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